104
FXUS65 KVEF 042216
AFDVEF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
216 PM PST Wed Nov 4 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Seasonable temperatures and dry conditions will persist over the
next week with a slight warming trend.
* A period of increased north winds can be expected Friday and
Saturday through the Colorado River Valley.
&&
.DISCUSSION...Today through Tuesday...
A rather benign weather pattern will persist across the Desert
Southwest for the remainder of the week and weekend. This will
occur within a semi-progressive flow pattern. A compact shortwave
is in the process of moving across central Nevada today,
maintaining near to slightly below normal temperatures. This may
result in some breeziness mainly over the higher terrain, but
otherwise no impacts are expected. This feature will shift east
this evening with a more zonal flow pattern becoming established
into Thursday. Thereafter, a weak trough is expected to develop
across Utah into Arizona. This is depicted well in both
deterministic and ensemble guidance, with somewhat higher
confidence in occurrence. The result will be a northerly flow
pattern, which often favors breezy to windy conditions across the
Colorado River Valley. Friday and Saturday look to hold the
greatest potential of wind gusts of 35-45 mph or greater with
probabilities upwards of 60-80%. This may lead to hazardous
crosswinds for east-west oriented roads and lead to hazardous
boating conditions on area lakes.
Over the weekend and into early next week, medium range ensembles
are in generally good agreement in developing a prevalent upper
ridge across much of the western CONUS. This will result in a
warming trend entering next week with continued dry conditions.
&&
.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Light
northeastelry-to-eastelry winds will swing around to the west-
southwest a few hours after sunset. These light west-southwesterly
winds will continue through early Thursday morning, when they
will become light and variable before settling out of the
northeast. Typical west-southwestelry drainage winds will return
again Thursday evening. VFR conditions will prevail through the
TAF period, with FEW to SCT high clouds with bases AOA 20kft AGL
Thursday.
For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Northerly winds will
decrease later this afternoon into the evening hours as the sun
sets. Light winds favoring typical nocturnal directional trends
will continue through Thursday morning when winds will shift back
to a northerly-to-northeasterly direction with 15 to 20 knot wind
gusts down the Colorado River Valley. VFR conditions will prevail
through the TAF period, with FEW to SCT high clouds with bases AOA
20kft AGL Thursday.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Austin
AVIATION...Stessman
For more forecast information...see us on our webpage:
https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter
NWS Las Vegas (VEF) Office